• xeeeeeeeeeeenu 2 hours ago

    > no prior solutions found.

    This is no longer true, a prior solution has just been found[1], so the LLM proof has been moved to the Section 2 of Terence Tao's wiki[2].

    [1] - https://www.erdosproblems.com/forum/thread/281#post-3325

    [2] - https://github.com/teorth/erdosproblems/wiki/AI-contribution...

    • nl 2 hours ago

      Interesting that in Terrance Tao's words: "though the new proof is still rather different from the literature proof)"

      And even odder that the proof was by Erdos himself and yet he listed it as an open problem!

      • TZubiri 2 hours ago

        Maybe it was in the training set.

        • magneticnorth an hour ago

          I think that was Tao's point, that the new proof was not just read out of the training set.

          • rzmmm 9 minutes ago

            The model has multiple layers of mechanisms to prevent carbon copy output of the training data.

      • threethirtytwo 2 hours ago

        This is a relief, honestly. A prior solution exists now, which means the model didn’t solve anything at all. It just regurgitated it from the internet, which we can retroactively assume contained the solution in spirit, if not in any searchable or known form. Mystery resolved.

        This aligns nicely with the rest of the canon. LLMs are just stochastic parrots. Fancy autocomplete. A glorified Google search with worse footnotes. Any time they appear to do something novel, the correct explanation is that someone, somewhere, already did it, and the model merely vibes in that general direction. The fact that no human knew about it at the time is a coincidence best ignored.

        The same logic applies to code. “Vibe coding” isn’t real programming. Real programming involves intuition, battle scars, and a sixth sense for bugs that can’t be articulated but somehow always validates whatever I already believe. When an LLM produces correct code, that’s not engineering, it’s cosplay. It didn’t understand the problem, because understanding is defined as something only humans possess, especially after the fact.

        Naturally, only senior developers truly code. Juniors shuffle syntax. Seniors channel wisdom. Architecture decisions emerge from lived experience, not from reading millions of examples and compressing patterns into a model. If an LLM produces the same decisions, it’s obviously cargo-culting seniority without having earned the right to say “this feels wrong” in a code review.

        Any success is easy to dismiss. Data leakage. Prompt hacking. Cherry-picking. Hidden humans in the loop. And if none of those apply, then it “won’t work on a real codebase,” where “real” is defined as the one place the model hasn’t touched yet. This definition will be updated as needed.

        Hallucinations still settle everything. One wrong answer means the whole system is fundamentally broken. Human mistakes, meanwhile, are just learning moments, context switches, or coffee shortages. This is not a double standard. It’s experience.

        Jobs are obviously safe too. Software engineering is mostly communication, domain expertise, and navigating ambiguity. If the model starts doing those things, that still doesn’t count, because it doesn’t sit in meetings, complain about product managers, or feel existential dread during sprint planning.

        So yes, the Erdos situation is resolved. Nothing new happened. No reasoning occurred. Progress remains hype. The trendline is imaginary. And any discomfort you feel is probably just social media, not the ground shifting under your feet.

        • magnio 2 hours ago

          Pity that HN's ability to detect sarcasm is as robust as that of a sentiment analysis model using keyword-matching.

          • catlifeonmars 13 minutes ago

            That’s just the internet. Detecting sarcasm requires a lot of context external to the content of any text. In person some of that is mitigated by intonation, facial expressions, etc. Typically it also requires that the the reader is a native speaker of the language or at least extremely proficient.

            • furyofantares an hour ago

              The problem is more that it's an LLM-generated comment that's about 20x as long as it needed to be to get the point across.

              • cubefox 6 minutes ago

                It's obviously not LLM-generated.

                • threethirtytwo 44 minutes ago

                  It's not.

                  Evidence shows otherwise: Despite the "20x" length, many people actually missed the point.

                  • eru 34 minutes ago

                    Despite or because?

                    • _diyar 19 minutes ago

                      I definitely missed the point because of the length, and only realized after I read replies to your comment.

                      • threethirtytwo 7 minutes ago

                        Next time I'll write something shorter, or if you don't believe I wrote it... then I'll tell the AI to write something shorter.

                • eru 35 minutes ago

                  > This is a relief, honestly. A prior solution exists now, which means the model didn’t solve anything at all. It just regurgitated it from the internet, which we can retroactively assume contained the solution in spirit, if not in any searchable or known form. Mystery resolved.

                  Vs

                  > Interesting that in Terrance Tao's words: "though the new proof is still rather different from the literature proof)"

                  • johnfn 2 hours ago

                    I suspect this is AI generated, but it’s quite high quality, and doesn’t have any of the telltale signs that most AI generated content does. How did you generate this? It’s great.

                    • AstroBen an hour ago

                      Their comments are full of "it's not x, it's y" over and over. Short pithy sentences. I'm quite confident it's AI written, maybe with a more detailed prompt than the average

                      I guess this is the end of the human internet

                      • 4k93n2 27 minutes ago

                        yea, i was suspicious by the second paragraph but was sure once i got to "that’s not engineering, it’s cosplay"

                        • AstroBen 16 minutes ago

                          It's also the wording. The weird phrases

                          "Glorified Google search with worse footnotes" what on earth does that mean?

                          AI has a distinct feel to it

                          • plaguuuuuu 19 minutes ago

                            I've had that exact phrase pop up from an LLM when I asked it for a more negative code review

                        • threethirtytwo an hour ago

                          Your intuition on AI is out of date by about 6 months. Those telltale signs no longer exist.

                          It wasn't AI generated. But if it was, there is currently no way for anyone to tell the difference.

                          • catlifeonmars 6 minutes ago

                            [delayed]

                            • velox_neb an hour ago

                              > It wasn't AI generated.

                              You're lying: https://www.pangram.com/history/94678f26-4898-496f-9559-8c4c...

                              Not that I needed pangram to tell me that, it's obvious slop.

                              • threethirtytwo an hour ago

                                I wouldn't know how to prove to you otherwise other then to tell you that I have seen these tools show incorrect results for both AI generated text and human written text.

                                • XenophileJKO an hour ago

                                  I must be a bot because I love existential dread, that's a great phrase. I feel like they trigger a lot on literate prose.

                                • comp_throw7 an hour ago

                                  > But if it was there is currently no way for anyone to tell the difference.

                                  This is false. There are many human-legible signs, and there do exist fairly reliable AI detection services (like Pangram).

                                  • threethirtytwo an hour ago

                                    I've tested some of those services and they weren't very reliable.

                                • CamperBob2 an hour ago

                                  (edit: removed duplicate comment from above, not sure how that happened)

                                  • undeveloper an hour ago

                                    the poster is in fact being very sarcastic. arguing in favor of emergent reasoning does in fact make sense

                                    • threethirtytwo an hour ago

                                      It's a formal sarcasm piece.

                                    • CamperBob2 an hour ago

                                      It's bizarre. The same account was previously arguing in favor of emergent reasoning abilities in another thread ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46453084 ) -- I voted it up, in fact! Turing test failed, I guess.

                                      (edit: fixed link)

                                      • threethirtytwo an hour ago

                                        I thought the mockery and sarcasm in my piece was rather obvious.

                                        • CamperBob2 an hour ago

                                          Poe's Law is the real Bitter Lesson.

                                        • habinero an hour ago

                                          We need a name for the much more trivial version of the Turing test that replaces "human" with "weird dude with rambling ideas he clearly thinks are very deep"

                                          I'm pretty sure it's like "can it run DOOM" and someone could make an LLM that passes this that runs on an pregnancy test

                                      • nurettin 2 hours ago

                                        Why not plan for a future where a lot of non-trivial tasks are automated instead of living on the edge with all this anxiety?

                                        • threethirtytwo 2 hours ago

                                          Well it's a bit of an identity crisis. As a developer on HN my entire identity is wrapped around my skill as a programmer. It's a badge of honor I wear and it's a career and I get paid a lot of money to do this.

                                          All of that is going away so the best way to deal with it is to call it a stochastic parrot and deny reality.

                                          • undeveloper an hour ago

                                            come out of the irony layer for a second -- what do you believe about LLMs?

                                            • 7777332215 an hour ago

                                              If all of it is going away and you should deny reality, what does everything else you wrote even mean?

                                              • habinero an hour ago

                                                Yes, it is simply impossible that anyone could look at things and do your own evaluations and come to a different, much more skeptical conclusion.

                                                The only possible explanation is people say things they don't believe out of FUD. Literally the only one.

                                        • doctoboggan 2 hours ago

                                          Can anyone give a little more color on the nature of Erdos problems? Are these problems that many mathematicians have spend years tackling with no result? Or do some of the problems evade scrutiny and go un-attempted for most of the time?

                                          EDIT: After reading a link someone else posted to Terrance Tao's wiki page, he has a paragraph that somewhat answers this question:

                                          > Erdős problems vary widely in difficulty (by several orders of magnitude), with a core of very interesting, but extremely difficult problems at one end of the spectrum, and a "long tail" of under-explored problems at the other, many of which are "low hanging fruit" that are very suitable for being attacked by current AI tools. Unfortunately, it is hard to tell in advance which category a given problem falls into, short of an expert literature review. (However, if an Erdős problem is only stated once in the literature, and there is scant record of any followup work on the problem, this suggests that the problem may be of the second category.)

                                          from here: https://github.com/teorth/erdosproblems/wiki/AI-contribution...

                                          • sequin 3 hours ago

                                            FWIW, I just gave Deepseek the same prompt and it solved it too (much faster than the 41m of ChatGPT). I then gave both proofs to Opus and it confirmed their equivalence.

                                            The answer is yes. Assume, for the sake of contradiction, that there exists an \(\epsilon > 0\) such that for every \(k\), there exists a choice of congruence classes \(a_1^{(k)}, \dots, a_k^{(k)}\) for which the set of integers not covered by the first \(k\) congruences has density at least \(\epsilon\).

                                            For each \(k\), let \(F_k\) be the set of all infinite sequences of residues \((a_i)_{i=1}^\infty\) such that the uncovered set from the first \(k\) congruences has density at least \(\epsilon\). Each \(F_k\) is nonempty (by assumption) and closed in the product topology (since it depends only on the first \(k\) coordinates). Moreover, \(F_{k+1} \subseteq F_k\) because adding a congruence can only reduce the uncovered set. By the compactness of the product of finite sets, \(\bigcap_{k \ge 1} F_k\) is nonempty.

                                            Choose an infinite sequence \((a_i) \in \bigcap_{k \ge 1} F_k\). For this sequence, let \(U_k\) be the set of integers not covered by the first \(k\) congruences, and let \(d_k\) be the density of \(U_k\). Then \(d_k \ge \epsilon\) for all \(k\). Since \(U_{k+1} \subseteq U_k\), the sets \(U_k\) are decreasing and periodic, and their intersection \(U = \bigcap_{k \ge 1} U_k\) has density \(d = \lim_{k \to \infty} d_k \ge \epsilon\). However, by hypothesis, for any choice of residues, the uncovered set has density \(0\), a contradiction.

                                            Therefore, for every \(\epsilon > 0\), there exists a \(k\) such that for every choice of congruence classes \(a_i\), the density of integers not covered by the first \(k\) congruences is less than \(\epsilon\).

                                            \boxed{\text{Yes}}

                                            • CGamesPlay an hour ago

                                              > I then gave both proofs to Opus and it confirmed their equivalence.

                                              You could have just rubber-stamped it yourself, for all the mathematical rigor it holds. The devil is in the details, and the smallest problem unravels the whole proof.

                                              • Klover 40 minutes ago

                                                Here's kimi-k2-thinking with the reasoning block included: https://www.kimi.com/share/19bcfe2e-d9a2-81fe-8000-00002163c...

                                                • nsoonhui 2 hours ago

                                                  I am not familiar with the field, but any chance that the deepseek is just memorizing the existing solution? Or different.

                                                  https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46664976

                                                  • utopiah an hour ago

                                                    Sure but if so wouldn't ChatGPT 5.2 Pro also "just memorizing the existing solution?"?

                                                    • nsoonhui an hour ago

                                                      No it's not, you can refer to my link and subsequent discussion.

                                                      • utopiah an hour ago

                                                        I don't see what's related there but anyway unless you have access to information from within OpenAI I don't see how you can claim what was or wasn't in the training data of ChatGPT 5.2 Pro.

                                                        On the contrary for DeepSeek you could but not for a non open model.

                                                        • nsoonhui 44 minutes ago

                                                          I am basing on Terrence Tao comment here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46665168

                                                          It says that the OpenAI proof is a different one from the published one in the literature.

                                                          Whereas whether the Deepseek proof is the same as the published one, I dont know enough of the math to judge.

                                                          That was what I meant.

                                                  • amluto 2 hours ago

                                                    I find it interesting that, as someone utterly unfamiliar with ergodic theory, Dini’s theorem, etc, I find Deepseek’s proof somewhat comprehensible, whereas I do not find GPT-5.2’s proof comprehensible at all. I suspect that I’d need to delve into the terminology in the GPT proof if I tried to verify Deepseek’s, so maybe GPT’s is being more straightforward about the underlying theory it relies on?

                                                  • pessimist 3 hours ago

                                                    From Terry Tao's comments in the thread:

                                                    "Very nice! ... actually the thing that impresses me more than the proof method is the avoidance of errors, such as making mistakes with interchanges of limits or quantifiers (which is the main pitfall to avoid here). Previous generations of LLMs would almost certainly have fumbled these delicate issues.

                                                    ...

                                                    I am going ahead and placing this result on the wiki as a Section 1 result (perhaps the most unambiguous instance of such, to date)"

                                                    The pace of change in math is going to be something to watch closely. Many minor theorems will fall. Next major milestone: Can LLMs generate useful abstractions?

                                                    • radioactivist 3 hours ago

                                                      Seems like the someone dug something up from the literature on this problem (see top comment on the erdosproblems.com thread)

                                                      "On following the references, it seems that the result in fact follows (after applying Rogers' theorem) from a 1936 paper of Davenport and Erdos (!), which proves the second result you mention. ... In the meantime, I am moving this problem to Section 2 on the wiki (though the new proof is still rather different from the literature proof)."

                                                    • carbocation 3 hours ago

                                                      The erdosproblems thread itself contains comments from Terence Tao: https://www.erdosproblems.com/forum/thread/281

                                                      • beders 19 minutes ago

                                                        Has anyone confirmed the solution is not in the training data? Otherwise it is just a bit information retrieval LLM style. No intelligence necessary.

                                                        • redbluered 3 hours ago

                                                          Has anyone verified this?

                                                          I've "solved" many math problems with LLMs, with LLMs giving full confidence in subtly or significantly incorrect solutions.

                                                          I'm very curious here. The Open AI memory orders and claims about capacity limits restricting access to better models are interesting too.

                                                          • bpodgursky 3 hours ago

                                                            Terence Tao gave it the thumbs up. I don't think you're going to do better than that.

                                                            • bparsons 2 hours ago

                                                              It's already been walked back.

                                                              • energy123 2 hours ago

                                                                Not in the sense of being a "subtly or significantly incorrect solution".

                                                          • ashleyn 2 hours ago

                                                            I guess the first question I have is if these problems solved by LLMs are just low-hanging fruit that human researchers either didn't get around to or show much interest in - or if there's some actual beef here to the idea that LLMs can independently conduct original research and solve hard problems.

                                                            • utopiah an hour ago

                                                              That's the first warning from the wiki : <<Erdős problems vary widely in difficulty (by several orders of magnitude), with a core of very interesting, but extremely difficult problems at one end of the spectrum, and a "long tail" of under-explored problems at the other, many of which are "low hanging fruit" that are very suitable for being attacked by current AI tools.>> https://github.com/teorth/erdosproblems/wiki/AI-contribution...

                                                              • dyauspitr 2 hours ago

                                                                There is still value on letting these LLMs loose on the periphery and knocking out all the low hanging fruit humanity hasn’t had the time to get around to. Also, I don’t know this, but if it is a problem on Erdos I presume people have tried to solve it atleast a little bit before it makes it to the list.

                                                                • utopiah an hour ago

                                                                  Is there though? If they are "solved" (as in the tickbox mark them as such, through a validation process, e.g. another model confirming, formal proof passing, etc) but there is no human actually learning from them, what's the benefit? Completing a list?

                                                                  I believe the ones that are NOT studied are precisely because they are seen as uninteresting. Even if they were to be solved in an interesting way, if nobody sees the proof because they are just too many and they are again not considered valuable then I don't see what is gained.

                                                              • a_tartaruga 3 hours ago

                                                                Out of curiosity why has the LLM math solving community been focused on the Erdos problems over other open problems? Are they of a certain nature where we would expect LLMs to be especially good at solving them?

                                                                • krackers 2 hours ago

                                                                  I guess they are at a difficulty where it's not too hard (unlike millennium prize problems), is fairly tightly scoped (unlike open ended research), and has some gravitas (so it's not some obscure theorem that's only unproven because of it's lack of noteworthiness).

                                                                • dernett 3 hours ago

                                                                  This is crazy. It's clear that these models don't have human intelligence, but it's undeniable at this point that they have _some_ form of intelligence.

                                                                  • eru 31 minutes ago

                                                                    Well, Alpha Go and Stockfish can beat you at their games. Why shouldn't these models beat us at math proofs?

                                                                    • brendyn 2 hours ago

                                                                      If LLMs weren't created by us but where something discovered in another species' behaviour it would be 100% labelled intelligence

                                                                      • qudat 3 hours ago

                                                                        My take is that a huge part of human intelligence is pattern matching. We just didn’t understand how much multidimensional geometry influenced our matches

                                                                        • keeda 2 hours ago

                                                                          Yes, it could be that intelligence is essentially a sophisticated form of recursive, brute force pattern matching.

                                                                          I'm beginning to think the Bitter Lesson applies to organic intelligence as well, because basic pattern matching can be implemented relatively simply using very basic mathematical operations like multiply and accumulate, and so it can scale with massive parallelization of relatively simple building blocks.

                                                                          • sdwr 2 hours ago

                                                                            I don't think it's accurate to describe LLMs as pattern matching. Prediction is the mechanism they use to ingest and output information, and they end up with a (relatively) deep model of the world under the hood.

                                                                            • visarga an hour ago

                                                                              The "pattern matching" perspective is true if you zoom in close enough, just like "protein reactions in water" is true for brains. But if you zoom out you see both humans and LLMs interact with external environments which provide opportunity for novel exploration. The true source of originality is not inside but in the environment. Making it be all about the model inside is a mistake, what matters more than the model is the data loop and solution space being explored.

                                                                              • D-Machine 2 hours ago

                                                                                "Pattern matching" is not sufficiently specified here for us to say if LLMs do pattern matching or not. E.g. we can say that an LLM predicts the next token because that token (or rather, its embedding) is the best "match" to the previous tokens, which form a path ("pattern") in embedding space. In this sense LLMs are most definitely pattern matching. Under other formulations of the term, they may not be (e.g. when pattern matching refers to abstraction or abstracting to actual logical patterns, rather than strictly semantic patterns).

                                                                                • keeda 2 hours ago

                                                                                  Yes, the world model building is achieved via pattern matching and happens during ingestion and training, but that is also part of the intelligence.

                                                                                  • DrewADesign 2 hours ago

                                                                                    Which is even more true for humans.

                                                                                • threethirtytwo 2 hours ago

                                                                                  I don't think they will ever have human intelligence. It will always be an alien intelligence.

                                                                                  But I think the trend line unmistakably points to a future where it can be MORE intelligent than a human in exactly the colloquial way we define "more intelligent"

                                                                                  The fact that one of the greatest mathematicians alive has a page and is seriously bench marking this shows how likely he believes this can happen.

                                                                                  • altmanaltman 2 hours ago

                                                                                    Depends on what you mean by intelligence, human intelligence and human

                                                                                    • ekianjo 2 hours ago

                                                                                      It's pattern matching. Which is actually what we measure in IQ tests, just saying.

                                                                                      • jadenpeterson 2 hours ago

                                                                                        There's some nuance. IQ tests measure pattern matching and, in an underlying way, other facets of intelligence - memory, for example. How well can an LLM 'remember' a thing? Sometimes Claude will perform compaction when its context window reaches 200k "tokens" then it seems a little colder to me, but maybe that's just my imagination. I'm kind of a "power user".

                                                                                        • rurban 2 hours ago

                                                                                          I call it matching. Pattern matching had a different meaning.

                                                                                          • ekianjo an hour ago

                                                                                            what are you referring to? LLMs are neural networks at their core and the most simple versions of neural networks are all about reproducing patterns observed during training

                                                                                            • rurban 10 minutes ago

                                                                                              You need to understand the difference between general matching and pattern matching. Maybe should have read more older AI books. A LLM is a general fuzzy matcher. A pattern matcher is an exact matcher using an abstract language, the "pattern". A general matcher uses a distance function instead, no pattern needed.

                                                                                              Ie you want to find a subimage in a big image, possibly rotated, scaled, tilted, distorted, with noise. You cannot do that with a pattern matcher, but you can do that with a matcher, such as a fuzzy matcher, a LLM.

                                                                                              You want to find a go position on a go board. A LLM is perfect for that, because you don't need to come up with a special language to describe go positions (older chess programs did that), you just train the model if that position is good or bad, and this can be fully automated via existing literature and later by playing against itself. You train the matcher not via patterns but a function (win or loose).

                                                                                        • TZubiri 2 hours ago

                                                                                          As someone who doesn't understand this shit, and how it's always the experts who fiddle the LLMs to get good outputs, it feels natural to attribute the intelligence to the operator (or the training set), rather than the LLM itself.

                                                                                        • mikert89 3 hours ago

                                                                                          I have 15 years of software engineering experience across some top companies. I truly believe that ai will far surpass human beings at coding, and more broadly logic work. We are very close

                                                                                          • 523-asf1 2 hours ago

                                                                                            Gotta make sure that the investors read this message in an Erdos thread.

                                                                                            • daxfohl 2 hours ago

                                                                                              They already do. What they suck at is common sense. Unfortunately good software requires both.

                                                                                              • anonzzzies 2 hours ago

                                                                                                Most people also suck at common sense, including most programmers, hence most programmers do not write good software to begin with.

                                                                                                • 523-asf1 2 hours ago

                                                                                                  Even a 20 year old Markov chain could produce this banality.

                                                                                                • marktl 2 hours ago

                                                                                                  Or is it fortunate (for a short period at least).

                                                                                                • anonzzzies 2 hours ago

                                                                                                  HN will be the last place to admit it; people here seem to be holding out with the vague 'I tried it and it came up with crap'. While many of us are shipping software without touching (much) code anymore. I have written code for over 40 years and this is nothing like no-code or whatever 'replacing programmers' before, this is clearly different judging from the people who cannot code with a gun to their heads but still are shipping apps: it does not really matter if anyone believes me or not. I am making more money than ever with fewer people than ever delivering more than ever.

                                                                                                  We are very close.

                                                                                                  (by the way; I like writing code and I still do for fun)

                                                                                                  • utopiah an hour ago

                                                                                                    Both can be correct : you might be making a lot of money using the latest tools while others who work on very different problems have tried the same tools and it's just not good enough for them.

                                                                                                    The ability to make money proves you found a good market, it doesn't prove that the new tools are useful to others.

                                                                                                    • fc417fc802 2 hours ago

                                                                                                      > holding out with the vague 'I tried it and it came up with crap'

                                                                                                      Isn't that a perfectly reasonable metric? The topic has been dominated by hype for at least the past 5 if not 10 years. So when you encounter the latest in a long line of "the future is here the sky is falling" claims, where every past claim to date has been wrong, it's natural to try for yourself, observe a poor result, and report back "nope, just more BS as usual".

                                                                                                      If the hyped future does ever arrive then anyone trying for themselves will get a workable result. It will be trivially easy to demonstrate that naysayers are full of shit. That does not currently appear to be the case.

                                                                                                      • danielbln an hour ago

                                                                                                        What topic are you referring to? ChatGPT release was just over 3 years ago. 5 years ago we had basic non-instruct GPT-3.

                                                                                                        • fc417fc802 an hour ago

                                                                                                          Wasn't transformer 2017? There's been constant AI hype since at least that far back and it's only gotten worse.

                                                                                                          If I release a claim once a month that armageddon will happen next month, and then after 20 years it finally does, are all of my past claims vindicated? Or was I spewing nonsense the entire time? What if my claim was the next big pandemic? The next 9.0 earthquake?

                                                                                                          • danielbln an hour ago

                                                                                                            Transformers was 2017 and it had some implications on translation (which were in no way overstated), but it took GPT-2 and 3 to kick it off in earnest and the real hype machine started with ChatGPT.

                                                                                                            What you are doing however is dismissing the outrageous progress on NLP and by extension code generation of the last few years just because people over hype it.

                                                                                                            People over hyped the Internet in the early 2000s, yet here we are.

                                                                                                            • fc417fc802 42 minutes ago

                                                                                                              Well I've been seeing an objectionable amount of what I consider to be hype since at least transformers.

                                                                                                              I never dismissed the actual verifiable progress that has occurred. I objected specifically to the hype. Are you sure you're arguing with what I actually said as opposed to some position that you've imagined that I hold?

                                                                                                              > People over hyped the Internet in the early 2000s, yet here we are.

                                                                                                              And? Did you not read the comment you are replying to? If I make wild predictions and they eventually pan out does that vindicate me? Or was I just spewing nonsense and things happened to work out?

                                                                                                              "LLMs will replace developers any day now" is such a claim. If it happens a month from now then you can say you were correct. If it doesn't then it was just hype and everyone forgets about it. Rinse and repeat once every few months and you have the current situation.

                                                                                                        • visarga an hour ago

                                                                                                          But the trend line is less ambiguous, models got better year over year, much much better.

                                                                                                          • fc417fc802 an hour ago

                                                                                                            I don't dispute that the situation is rapidly evolving. It is certainly possible that we could achieve AGI in the near future. It is also entirely possible that we might not. Claims such as that AGI is close or that we will soon be replacing developers entirely are pure hype.

                                                                                                            When someone says something to the effect of "LLMs are on the verge of replacing developers any day now" it is perfectly reasonable to respond "I tried it and it came up with crap". If we were actually near that point you wouldn't have gotten crap back when you tried it for yourself.

                                                                                                      • AtlasBarfed an hour ago

                                                                                                        Is this comment written by AI?

                                                                                                        • user3939382 2 hours ago

                                                                                                          They can only code to specification which is where even teams of humans get lost. Without much smarter architecture for AI (LLMs as is are a joke) that needle isn’t going to move.

                                                                                                        • logicallee 13 minutes ago

                                                                                                          how did they do it? Was a human using the chat interface? Did they just type out the problem and immediately on the first reply received a complete solution (one-shot) or what was the human's role? What was ChatGPT's thinking time?

                                                                                                        • IAmGraydon 2 hours ago

                                                                                                          This is showing as unresolved here, so I'm assuming something was retracted.

                                                                                                          https://mehmetmars7.github.io/Erdosproblems-llm-hunter/probl...

                                                                                                          • nl 2 hours ago

                                                                                                            I think that just hasn't been updated.

                                                                                                          • magicalist an hour ago

                                                                                                            Funny seeing silicon valley bros commenting "you're on fire!" to Neel when it appears he copied and pasted the problem verbatim into chatGPT and it did literally all the other work here

                                                                                                            https://chatgpt.com/share/696ac45b-70d8-8003-9ca4-320151e081...

                                                                                                            • ares623 3 hours ago

                                                                                                              This must be what it feels like to be a CEO and someone tells me they solved coding.

                                                                                                              • jrflowers 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                Narrator: The solution had already appeared several times in the training data