I have come to the conclusion that the only thing that really matters at this point in AI is funding right now.
Here's why. The models are all sort of variations on the transformer architecture. But what sets models apart is $$$ worth of hardware to train the bigger model, and $$$ to obtain better training data.
So I don't think it will hurt OpenAI as much as we think. The software is the easy part at this point I think.
at this rate,i think meta,google and anthropic will matter more in the AI/LLMs race than openAI in few years to come.
A few years? Sonnet 3.5 is a better API-mediated solution today, LLaMA 3.2 is one full turn of the crank from GPT-4-1106-preview parity.
It’s dramatically easier to list the researchers or executives of any note who remain than the ones that have left.
This is like when John Romero did Ion Storm without Carmack. Maybe, maybe, GPT-5 is tracking as a viable family of training runs today, it certainly wasn’t 6 months ago when it was already badly late.
And even if it is: there won’t be another on the handful of world-class research staff they have left. Now you get Canvas and shit that even they don’t think will stick.
OpenAI seems to have been losing it. They now cannot even get basic accounting to work correctly. They look to have lost all Credit Grants entries for users for Sept 2024. They then went out of their way to give active users a free credit of nearly $100 to make up for the loss of this accounting data. They didn't even issue a formal announcement of this screwup. As a user, it makes me worried.
I don't want to overlook that they introduced Canvas today, but all parts have to work correctly for the system to work. It's not a fully cybernetic system yet.
OpenAI is definitely planning to IPO within the next 12-18 months after it restructures into a for profit.
“Creator” is used loosely in such cases. For models of this scale it’s not uncommon to have a dozen people working on just core model design, with a lot more working on data, optimization, evaluation, tuning, alignment etc. Going to Google with Sundar at the helm is inadvisable.
Yeah, probably labeling him as "Creator" doesn't paint the right picture. But he is first of 13 authors on the "technical report", which seems to be a website instead of a paper: https://openai.com/index/video-generation-models-as-world-si...
So is there any actual innovating technical talent left at OpenAI? Or is it now all just money people and "line goes up" AI self promoting grifters?
I am starting to think the only one stay at OpenAI in the end is Sam Altman at this rate.
it's OK, he can use AI to replace everyone that left
I really wonder what sama did internally for this to happen. Must be that founder mode energy that pg keeps talking about.