• breerbgoat 9 months ago

    Not this again.

    The ASPI methodology is to use algorithms to count journal citations to determine who is "ahead". They don't directly examine the state of the technology. That's not to say that the conclusion, at least broadly speaking, is necessarily wrong, but journal citations don't directly translate into implementable technology.

    It does make for great headlines however, which are free publicity for ASPI and whatever agenda they might be pushing.

    • stonethrowaway 9 months ago

      Even if ASPI overdid it, I think it’s prudent to look at China’s advancement momentum all the same. The issue is that at their scale anything they put their weight behind has immediate global ramifications, because so many countries have become uncontrollably dependent on China. So the money is definitely there (as opposed to here.)

      • breerbgoat 9 months ago

        The Chinese government can pay its scientists for papers that might not survive valid peer reviews all they want; up until this year anyways. They are utterly broke, and this won't last past this year.

        • Daishiman 9 months ago

          This sounds like cope. The sheer volume of practical research that makes its way into Chinese manufacturing is astounding.

          • breerbgoat 9 months ago

            Meh, wake me up when Chinese factories stop using european/american/japanese equipments and european/american/japanese softwares, because that's all they use.

            • Daishiman 9 months ago

              Nice way to move the bar. The Chinese are crushing it in state-of-the-art EVs, batteries, solar, heavy manufacturing, produce pretty much every electronics component out there, have advanced chip lithography which has never been closer to what ASML offers, cheap steel, managerial skill to make massive infrastructure developments, and so on.

              And every single one of these points was, in the past 10 years, one of the "wake me up when" things that Americans with a superiority complex were going on about.

              You're about to get the rug pulled from under you and you didn't even see it.

    • abstractanimal 9 months ago

      I guess there is a "that which is seen vs. that which is not seen" (Bastiat) argument to be made, but government investment into engineering research seems to be a pretty good deal.

      I saw a quote the other day I liked: "If the rest of the world wants to emulate the US model, they should do as the United States actually did, not as they say they did".

      - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Entrepreneurial_State

      • ChrisArchitect 9 months ago

        Related:

        China Is Rapidly Becoming a Leading Innovator in Advanced Industries

        https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41562321

        • toomuchtodo 9 months ago
          • drunkenmagician 9 months ago

            Seems very focused on academic metrics which skews the results somewhat I think. But still interesting results.

            • dyauspitr 9 months ago

              Can’t beat the technical progress and efficiency that comes from a benevolent dictatorship. China is going to run away with it over the next decade and it’s going to suck because it will normalize whatever hellish authoritarianism they have going on over there.

              • namaria 9 months ago

                What this report is telling me is there's fierce competition for relevance in STEM field paper publication across a wide range of interests.

                That is very good.

                • yarg 9 months ago

                  Do they?

                  This is about research and papers published - but Chinese academia is amongst the most corrupt in the world, so without the technologies being utilised (or at least peer reviewed by more trustworthy people) this really doesn't mean all that much.

                  Honestly, if the Chinese were that far ahead they wouldn't depend on industrial espionage to the extent that they do.

                  • DiogenesKynikos 9 months ago

                    Chinese researchers publish in international journals. Peer review is done in exactly the same way it would be done for American scientists.

                    Nature runs an index of how many papers are published in top journals by scientists in each country and institution: https://www.nature.com/nature-index/country-outputs/generate.... Chinese scientists publish more papers in leading international journals than scientists from any other country, including the US (though it's neck and neck at the moment).

                    • yarg 9 months ago

                      If Chinese academic research were not absolutely rife with fraud, their MoE wouldn't have stepped in with guidelines to deal with the issue.

                      https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-023-02208-6

                      • DiogenesKynikos 9 months ago

                        Every country should have policies to deal with research fraud. The US does as well.

                        You haven't addressed the point I made above, which is that Chinese scientists are now consistently getting published in the most prestigious international journals, in numbers exceeding even US scientists.

                    • hulitu 9 months ago

                      > Honestly, if the Chinese were that far ahead they wouldn't depend on industrial espionage to the extent that they do.

                      Honestly, if the Gringos were that far ahead they wouldn't depend on industrial espionage to the extent that they do.

                      • derelicta 9 months ago

                        Westerns unfortunately feel threatened by the rise of socialist Republics because they assume their interests are the same as their elites, so if their elites end up being hurt by China, they will end up being hurt themselves aswell.

                        • yarg 9 months ago

                          Unfortunately?

                          I feel threatened by an ethnosupremacist regime that would murder tens of millions of its own citizens.

                          Crazy huh?

                          • derelicta 9 months ago

                            Ah yes, socialists are the Nazis now and westerners are freedom-loving sovereignty-respecting anti racists